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Fundamental Analysis

Should we Expect more Downside Next Week After Friday Sell-off?

The end of this week saw USD gaining some bullish momentum thanks to a modest sell-off in risk assets. U. Michigan's report on inflation expectations and consumer optimism may tame the rise of US...
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The Friday Forex Takeaway - Episode 71

Key Points from This Week Equities Soar on Stimulus Expectations US equities indices broke out to fresh highs again this week as Biden continues to push ahead with his proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus...
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UK Avoids Double Dip Recession Despite Record Contraction in 2020

Better Q4 Data The latest data out of the UK today has helped deliver some much-needed optimism. The Office for National Statistics reported that in the fourth quarter, the UK economy grew by 1%. This...

Triangle in the USD Index Speaks in Favour of Continuation of the Downside

Consumer inflation in the US eased to 1.4% in January, which became a surprising development. It was expected that rapid commodity inflation will push up consumer prices in the US, but it looks like...
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USD Sells Off Following Inflation Miss & Powell Comments

Dollar Under Pressure The US Dollar has turned sharply lower again this week, continuing the losses seen into the back end of last week and seemingly putting an end to the recent recovery rally. The...
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The Crude Chronicles Episode 73

Oil Traders Continue To Cut LongsThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders cut their upside exposure again last week by a further 5438 contracts. This latest...

Powell Should Soothe Concerns About Upcoming US Fiscal Stimulus

US equities sustained elevated mood on Tuesday closing near their all-time highs, passing the baton to Wednesday trading. SPX futures tested new all-time high at 3925 today, but trended lower later...
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US Treasury Yields Soften Ahead of US Inflation Data

Yields Hold Near Highs US bond yields have softened a little bit over the last 24 hours following a breakout on Monday to the highest levels in over a year. US treasury yields have been on a steady...
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TRY Recovery Rally At Key Juncture

TRY Recovery Continues The Turkish Lira has undergone an impressive recovery over the last few months. USDTRY has now corrected around 18% lower from the all-time highs printed in November 2020. It...